UnfinishedNews.
MIDTERMS 2026 · TOMORROW

The Senate comes down to 7 races.
Each side needs 4 of them.

Democrats need 51 seats for control. Republicans need 50, because the vice president breaks ties. Every other race is already expected to go one way.

47 Democratic7 toss-upsRepublican 46
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Each square is one Senate seat; the black line marks control. Toss-ups run from most Democratic-leaning (left) to most Republican-leaning. Solid squares are not on the ballot this year; lighter squares are races expected to stay with one party. Ratings: Cook Political Report, Oct. 30.

The 7 races that decide it

MichiganHeld by Democrats
  • Mike Rogers Republican
  • Abdul El-Sayed Democrat
8 of 12 forecasters lean D · 4 toss-up · 0 lean R
MaineHeld by Republicans
  • Susan Collins Republican, incumbent
  • Troy Jackson Democrat
6 of 12 forecasters lean D · 6 toss-up · 0 lean R
Ohio (special)Held by Republicans
  • Jon Husted Republican, incumbent
  • Sherrod Brown Democrat
5 of 12 forecasters lean D · 7 toss-up · 0 lean R
TexasHeld by Republicans
  • Ken Paxton Republican
  • James Talarico Democrat
5 of 12 forecasters lean D · 7 toss-up · 0 lean R
AlaskaHeld by Republicans
  • Dan Sullivan Republican, incumbent
  • Mary Peltola Democrat
  • Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. Independent
4 of 12 forecasters lean D · 8 toss-up · 0 lean R
KansasHeld by Republicans
  • Roger Marshall Republican, incumbent
  • Adam Hamilton Democrat
1 of 12 forecasters lean D · 10 toss-up · 1 lean R
IowaHeld by Republicans
  • Ashley Hinson Republican
  • Josh Turek Democrat
  • Thomas Laehn Libertarian
0 of 12 forecasters lean D · 10 toss-up · 2 lean R

The House: 218 seats for control

Today: 214 D · 218 R · 1 I · 2 vacant. All 435 seats are on the ballot. Clerk of the House, Nov. 2

The national vote: five poll averages agree

Decision Desk HQD +8.9
FiftyPlusOneD +8.6
NBC NewsD +8.0
RealClearPoliticsD +8.9
Silver BulletinD +8.8

Which party voters plan to back for Congress, nationally. Range: D +8.0 to D +8.9. As of Nov. 1

All 35 Senate races

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Expected Democratic Toss-up Expected Republican

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